The School of Odds
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Pisa v Cremonese

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:31 UTC

Final: Pisa 3–1 Cremonese

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pisa (Local)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%46.22%46.03%48.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.992.002.0856.50%50.14%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cremonese (Visit)

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.43%25.44%25.59%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.604.1030.30%27.84%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.35%3.53fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%28.34%28.39%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.4033.33%31.15%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pisa (Local): 46.05%; Cremonese (Visit): 25.60%; Draw: 28.35%. For Cremonese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +4.96%E +1.21%K +1.60%G +0.079%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -5.87%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 17:20
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +4.96%E +1.21%K +1.60%G +0.079%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -5.87%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.40%E +0.600%K +0.800%G +0.019%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 17:25
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.52%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -0.160%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.12%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -13.89%E -7.43%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -0.160%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 17:04
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.72%E -0.716%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.83%E -4.46%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -2.72%E -0.716%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.72%E -0.716%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.72%E -0.716%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.81%EV -6.53%E -3.21%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.70%EV -8.13%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 17:05
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 16:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:03
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 17:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 17:19
picklebet_au🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 17:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 16:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.75%E -4.97%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.28%EV -11.17%E -3.22%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 17:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.67%E -5.50%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -9.29%E -4.72%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -9.29%E -4.72%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.01%EV -12.51%E -6.59%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.52%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.89%E -7.43%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 47.60%EV -18.50%E -10.45%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.62%EV -13.52%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-17 17:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.52%E -4.70%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.52%E -4.70%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 16:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.52%E -4.70%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -13.43%E -7.15%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -15.52%E -4.70%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-17 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-10-17 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-17 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-17 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-10-17 17:20
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31%1.9%2026-10-17 17:25