Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pescara v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pescara (Local)

Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.78%44.60%44.79%45.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.072.082.1451.81%48.30%48.19%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%28.04%28.03%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.233.4233.33%30.89%31.01%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%27.36%27.19%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5533.33%30.34%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pescara (Local): 44.71%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 28.02%; Draw: 27.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -3.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:25
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.72%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.19%E -0.899%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 08:09
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.72%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.12%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:08
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.72%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.72%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 13:03
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 19:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:50
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.56%E -3.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.12%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 08:10
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 08:04
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.46%E -3.60%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.12%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:44
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.90%E -3.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:50
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.90%E -3.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:44
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.72%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:09
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 09:04
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 09:04
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:50
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 19:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.31%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 12:24
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.52%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 08:09
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -18.19%E -6.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -11.48%E -5.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -10.89%E -3.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -9.46%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -12.82%E -6.57%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.82%E -6.57%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 17:42
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.57%EV -13.27%E -6.84%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.93%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 08:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.93%EV -13.72%E -7.11%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.97%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%3.9%2026-04-24 02:45