The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Palermo v Vicenza

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:30 UTC

Final: Palermo 3–1 Vicenza

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palermo (Local)

Prediction 64.29%1.56fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.26%64.10%64.40%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.441.441.5074.63%69.32%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vicenza (Visit)

Prediction 14.64%6.83fair odd
EV +10.07%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.156%

assuming max odds 7.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.83%14.70%14.55%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.026.007.5220.00%16.60%16.67%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV -0.944%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.82%21.20%21.05%22.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.284.304.7025.97%23.34%23.23%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 64.29%; Vicenza (Visit): 14.64%; Draw: 21.08%. For Vicenza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.77%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.83%EV +10.07%E +1.34%K +1.54%G +0.156%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.39%EV -9.16%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-01 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.46%E +0.351%K +0.410%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -0.467%E -0.069%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -0.467%E -0.069%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.79%EV -11.93%E -8.71%K -32.23%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.25%EV -0.467%E -0.069%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 17:45
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.04%EV -2.52%E -0.378%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -8.32%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.99%EV -2.66%E -0.400%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -8.32%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.57%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 18:03
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.86%E -0.747%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.32%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -0.944%E -0.201%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 18:15
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -9.25%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 17:04
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -10.71%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -10.71%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.32%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -16.57%E -2.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.848%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.01%EV -11.28%E -8.18%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.25%EV -16.57%E -2.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.49%EV -11.28%E -8.18%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -18.03%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 18:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.50%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-01 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.24%EV -11.28%E -8.18%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.47%EV -22.42%E -4.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.30%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-01 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.35%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -23.15%E -4.41%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.41%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -23.89%E -4.59%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -23.89%E -4.59%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.42%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -23.89%E -4.59%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 62.28%EV -13.86%E -10.34%K -40.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.05%EV -23.89%E -4.59%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.68%EV -18.86%E -4.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-11-01 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -26.81%E -5.36%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-01 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.26%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-11-01 18:05

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