默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palermo v Sampdoria

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palermo (主队)

预测 58.46%1.71公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -2.51%
Kelly -6.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
56.32%58.47%58.40%60.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.591.601.6467.11%63.02%62.50%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sampdoria (客队)

预测 17.71%5.64公平赔率
EV +5.94%
优势 +0.992%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.071%

假设最高赔率为 5.98

博彩公司预测分布
16.10%17.62%17.79%18.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.155.105.9821.28%19.42%19.61%16.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.82%4.20公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.566%
Kelly -0.749%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.83%23.91%23.81%25.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.783.754.1029.41%26.42%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Palermo (主队):58.46%;Sampdoria (客队):17.71%;平局:23.82%。 对于“Sampdoria (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.64。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.98,对应+5.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.12%EV +5.94%E +0.992%K +1.19%G +0.071%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.76%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.75%E +0.474%K +0.572%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.14%E -7.33%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +0.975%E +0.171%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 17:45
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.85%EV +0.089%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:25
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -2.57%E -0.467%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.34%E -0.804%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:50
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.34%E -0.804%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.65%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.23%E -0.977%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:14
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -7.00%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.00%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:45
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -4.12%E -2.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.88%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 18:25
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:05
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:13
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.43%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.88%EV -12.89%E -8.65%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.72%EV -12.31%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.20%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -13.20%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.20%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.73%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -13.20%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.69%EV -11.72%E -7.76%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -13.20%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-07 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.29%EV -9.97%E -6.47%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 18:15
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.62%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.22%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.97%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.62%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.64%EV -11.72%E -7.76%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.20%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -19.00%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 17:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-07 18:20