Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palermo v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palermo (Local)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.82%55.95%56.03%57.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.641.651.7067.57%60.92%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 17.23%5.81fair odd
EV +5.08%
Edge +0.832%
Kelly +0.995%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%17.23%17.17%19.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.275.256.1021.05%18.97%19.05%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -0.856%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.82%26.80%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.423.483.6535.09%29.26%28.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 56.00%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 17.23%; Draw: 26.78%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.99%EV -4.80%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.60%EV +5.08%E +0.832%K +0.995%G +0.051%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV +3.35%E +0.559%K +0.671%G +0.022%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.32%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 17:54
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.49%EV +0.769%E +0.132%K +0.159%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.27%E -0.621%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.71%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.953%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.71%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.953%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.81%E -0.318%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.25%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.97%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -4.80%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 17:20
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 17:44
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 17:45
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:35
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 17:35
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.03%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.19%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-17 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.82%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -5.26%E -0.956%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -19.67%E -6.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-17 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.15%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.70%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 55.60%EV -17.12%E -11.57%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.53%EV -8.70%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 28.87%EV -23.69%E -8.31%K -12.80%G +0.000%21.5%2026-03-17 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.94%EV -10.96%E -6.89%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.18%EV -14.32%E -9.36%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -15.66%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-17 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 17:35
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 17:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 17:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.15%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-17 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.59%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -15.59%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.28%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -11.52%E -7.29%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -15.59%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-17 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -16.46%E -3.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 17:35
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -4.80%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -18.18%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%0.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%0.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%0.4%2026-03-17 17:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-03-17 17:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-17 17:40