The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Palermo v Carrarese

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 14:00 UTC

Final: Palermo 2–1 Carrarese

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palermo (Local)

Prediction 63.53%1.57fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.54%63.61%63.37%65.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.441.441.5375.19%69.41%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carrarese (Visit)

Prediction 15.64%6.39fair odd
EV +6.36%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 6.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.25%15.55%15.74%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.946.006.8019.61%16.84%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV -0.460%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.80%20.84%20.90%22.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.364.334.7825.32%22.96%23.09%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 63.53%; Carrarese (Visit): 15.64%; Draw: 20.82%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.79%EV -12.96%E -9.46%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.25%EV +6.36%E +0.935%K +1.10%G +0.070%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 13:55
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -9.78%E -6.89%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.21%E -0.915%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -13.59%E -9.99%K -37.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV +1.67%E +0.257%K +0.303%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.73%EV -5.33%E -3.58%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.09%EV -0.052%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV -0.460%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -10.42%E -7.39%K -25.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -2.24%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.13%EV -3.81%E -0.619%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.13%E -0.452%K -0.575%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -12.32%E -8.93%K -32.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -12.32%E -8.93%K -32.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -4.59%E -0.752%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 13:55
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.71%EV -5.53%E -0.915%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -7.75%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -4.21%E -0.915%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.83%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 13:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 13:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -9.78%E -6.89%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -13.59%E -9.99%K -37.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -13.59%E -9.99%K -37.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -6.15%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 13:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -9.28%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.36%EV -15.50%E -11.65%K -46.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.76%EV -9.28%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.88%EV -14.62%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-25 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 13:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 13:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.54%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 13:24
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 13:55
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.54%EV -3.43%E -2.25%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 13:55
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.54%EV -3.43%E -2.25%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.34%EV -12.96%E -9.46%K -35.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -12.41%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.16%EV -14.62%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -2.79%E -1.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -2.79%E -1.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 13:55
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -11.50%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -13.59%E -9.99%K -37.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -9.83%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.24%E -4.96%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -15.54%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 13:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.70%E -4.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 13:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.70%E -4.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.70%E -4.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.02%EV -10.42%E -7.39%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.62%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-25 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -18.67%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -10.46%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 62.25%EV -14.23%E -10.54%K -40.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.48%EV -20.23%E -3.97%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.27%EV -17.74%E -4.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-25 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-10-25 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-10-25 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-10-25 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.16%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-10-25 13:55
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%2.8%2026-10-25 13:55