L’École des cotes

Monza v Venezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 16:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monza (Local)

Prévision 32.78%3.05cote équitable
EV +0.303%
Avantage +0.099%
Kelly +0.147%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.25%32.72%32.81%34.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.753.0638.46%36.03%36.36%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.27%2.68cote équitable
EV +11.82%
Avantage +3.94%
Kelly +5.91%
Croissance +0.699%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%37.14%37.27%40.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.482.503.0047.62%40.31%40.08%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.95%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.510%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%30.14%29.91%35.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.043.093.3040.00%32.93%32.36%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV +11.82%E +3.94%K +5.91%G +0.699%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -20.64%E -7.79%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 04:08
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%EV -2.34%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 16:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -7.76%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 16:09
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -7.76%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:25
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:24
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 16:04
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -1.17%E -0.356%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.67%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:04
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.66%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:25
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -5.70%E -2.25%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:09
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:09
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:09
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -14.65%E -5.14%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:10
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:54
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -7.19%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.66%E -3.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:09
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -7.19%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.66%E -3.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:09
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.56%E -3.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:04
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.56%E -3.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:04
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 16:00
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 16:09
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -5.93%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 16:04
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV +0.303%E +0.099%K +0.147%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -9.05%E -3.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:09
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.66%E -3.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -5.67%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 16:04
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -17.64%E -6.42%K -10.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-21 16:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.67%E -0.822%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:09
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.67%E -0.822%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.67%E -0.822%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:09
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.67%E -0.822%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:09
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -19.14%E -7.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.66%EV -10.51%E -3.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.62%EV -11.66%E -4.92%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 16:02
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -11.66%E -4.92%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 16:09
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -11.66%E -4.92%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.15%E -4.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.41%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 16:04
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.98%EV -10.84%E -3.99%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.50%EV -13.52%E -5.83%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.65%E -5.14%K -7.92%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 16:04
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -14.27%E -6.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -1.17%E -0.356%K -0.510%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 16:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -14.27%E -6.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 16:04
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.27%E -6.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -10.16%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 16:09
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.29%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.16%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.55%EV -25.13%E -10.05%K -16.75%G +0.000%22.9%2026-03-21 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -21.72%E -10.35%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-03-21 16:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-03-21 16:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.89%2.8%2026-03-21 16:09