A Escola das Odds

Monza v Modena

Início: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Previsão 57.96%1.73odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.59%57.89%57.95%59.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.601.6866.67%62.16%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Modena (Visitante)

Previsão 17.92%5.58odd justa
EV +3.94%
Vantagem +0.679%
Kelly +0.820%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.30%17.92%17.97%19.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.015.005.8022.22%19.98%20.00%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.12%4.15odd justa
EV +0.089%
Vantagem +0.021%
Kelly +0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.06%24.19%24.08%26.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.723.754.1530.30%26.87%26.67%24.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -7.84%E -4.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV +3.94%E +0.679%K +0.820%G +0.032%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.82%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.12%EV +0.174%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV +0.089%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:19
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:19
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.23%E -0.598%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:59
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -6.42%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:39
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.73%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:36
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.73%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:43
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 23:44
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.85%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -6.42%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 23:39
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:54
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.71%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 22:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.71%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 22:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -11.32%E -7.40%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -20.41%E -6.19%K -8.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.08%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.07%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 22:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.02%EV -13.06%E -8.70%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 23:39
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.59%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 21:59
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -18.00%E -5.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%3.6%2026-04-24 03:25