مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monza v Modena

البداية: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.96%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.62%
الأفضلية -1.56%
Kelly -3.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.59%57.89%57.95%59.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.611.601.6866.67%62.16%62.50%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Modena (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.92%5.58السعر العادل
EV +3.94%
الأفضلية +0.679%
Kelly +0.820%
النمو +0.032%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.30%17.92%17.97%19.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.015.005.8022.22%19.98%20.00%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.12%4.15السعر العادل
EV +0.089%
الأفضلية +0.021%
Kelly +0.028%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.06%24.19%24.08%26.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.723.754.1530.30%26.87%26.67%24.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -7.84%E -4.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV +3.94%E +0.679%K +0.820%G +0.032%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.82%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.12%EV +0.174%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV +0.089%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:19
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:19
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.23%E -0.598%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:59
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -6.42%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:39
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.73%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:36
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.73%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:43
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 23:44
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.85%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -6.42%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 23:39
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:54
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.71%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 22:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.71%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 22:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:19
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 21:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.00%E -5.73%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -11.32%E -7.40%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -20.41%E -6.19%K -8.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.08%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.07%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 22:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:19
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.02%EV -13.06%E -8.70%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 23:39
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:09
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.59%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -10.74%E -6.97%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.76%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 21:59
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -18.00%E -5.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 14:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%3.6%2026-04-24 03:25