L’École des cotes

Monza v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 18:00 UTC

Score final : Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monza (Local)

Prévision 48.48%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.97%48.57%48.45%50.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.891.892.0058.14%52.87%52.91%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV +6.69%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.118%

avec la cote maximale 4.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.77%22.17%22.19%23.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.144.104.8126.67%24.18%24.39%20.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.242%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%29.26%29.36%30.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.103.4034.72%31.97%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.77%EV +6.69%E +1.39%K +1.76%G +0.118%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 17:50
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.40%EV +0.261%E +0.058%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:28
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%EV -4.50%E -2.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -3.18%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 17:49
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -0.242%E -0.071%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 17:30
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 17:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.27%EV -9.83%E -5.29%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 17:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 17:10
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.56%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.53%EV -16.62%E -9.66%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.21%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -12.86%E -4.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-19 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 17:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 17:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 17:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 17:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 17:48
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 17:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 17:48
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 17:40
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 17:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 17:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 17:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.77%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.77%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 17:40
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-19 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.06%EV -9.83%E -5.29%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-19 17:40
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 17:30
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -15.50%E -5.38%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-19 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-19 17:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-19 17:50