La escuela de los momios

Monza v Juve Stabia

Inicio: 2026-05-19 18:00 UTC

Final: Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.97%48.57%48.45%50.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.891.892.0058.14%52.87%52.91%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV +6.69%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.118%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.77%22.17%22.19%23.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.104.8126.67%24.18%24.39%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.34%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.242%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.26%29.36%30.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.103.4034.72%31.97%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.77%EV +6.69%E +1.39%K +1.76%G +0.118%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 17:50
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.40%EV +0.261%E +0.058%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.183%E -0.041%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:28
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%EV -4.50%E -2.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -3.18%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 17:49
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -0.242%E -0.071%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 17:30
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -2.40%E -0.546%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 17:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.27%EV -9.83%E -5.29%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -3.95%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 17:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 17:10
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.56%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.53%EV -16.62%E -9.66%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.21%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -12.86%E -4.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-19 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 17:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.73%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 17:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 17:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 17:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 17:48
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 17:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 17:48
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 17:40
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 17:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -8.38%E -4.43%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 17:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 17:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.77%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.77%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 17:40
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-19 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.06%EV -9.83%E -5.29%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-19 17:40
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -12.26%E -6.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 17:30
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 17:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -15.71%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -15.50%E -5.38%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-19 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-19 17:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-05-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-19 17:50