Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Modena v Mantova

Начало: 2026-03-21 18:32 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Modena (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.79%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.17%
Преимущество -2.56%
Kelly -6.62%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.44%58.67%58.84%59.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.77%63.69%61.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Mantova (Гости)

Прогноз 17.11%5.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.03%
Преимущество +0.663%
Kelly +0.794%
Рост +0.032%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.62%17.19%17.09%18.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.245.226.0822.22%19.08%19.14%16.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 24.10%4.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.13%
Преимущество -0.778%
Kelly -1.04%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.34%24.15%24.07%26.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.153.763.804.0231.75%26.59%26.32%24.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Modena (Хозяева): 58.79%; Mantova (Гости): 17.11%; Ничья: 24.10%. Для исхода «Mantova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.84. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.08, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.03%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.72%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.62%EV +4.03%E +0.663%K +0.794%G +0.032%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.67%EV -1.27%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.93%EV -3.13%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.29%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.70%EV -1.61%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.29%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.70%EV -1.61%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -4.18%E -0.746%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -4.18%E -0.746%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 18:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.10%EV -6.75%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.60%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 18:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.60%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -9.31%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 18:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -14.75%E -10.17%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -9.31%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 18:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -11.22%E -7.43%K -22.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -8.91%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 18:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -8.28%E -5.31%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -11.02%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -13.58%E -9.24%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -11.02%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.66%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -18.07%E -5.31%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -20.48%E -6.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -9.46%E -6.14%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -16.16%E -3.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 56.91%EV -15.34%E -10.65%K -34.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.07%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.02%EV -24.09%E -7.65%K -11.21%G +0.000%22.0%2026-03-21 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -18.72%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -23.00%E -5.11%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -20.48%E -6.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-21 18:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-03-21 18:30