L’École des cotes

Modena v Mantova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Modena (Local)

Prévision 58.79%1.70cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.56%
Kelly -6.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%58.67%58.84%59.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.77%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mantova (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.11%5.84cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.663%
Kelly +0.794%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 6.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.62%17.19%17.09%18.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.245.226.0822.22%19.08%19.14%16.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.10%4.15cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -0.778%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%24.15%24.07%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.763.804.0231.75%26.59%26.32%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.72%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.62%EV +4.03%E +0.663%K +0.794%G +0.032%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.67%EV -1.27%E -0.220%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.93%EV -3.13%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.29%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.70%EV -1.61%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 18:29
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.29%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.70%EV -1.61%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 18:29
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -4.18%E -0.746%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:29
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -4.18%E -0.746%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:29
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:30
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:30
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 18:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.10%EV -6.75%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.60%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 18:25
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.60%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 18:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -9.31%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 18:28
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -14.75%E -10.17%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -9.31%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 18:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 18:29
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -11.22%E -7.43%K -22.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -10.17%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -8.91%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 18:28
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -8.28%E -5.31%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -11.02%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -13.58%E -9.24%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -11.02%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:29
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:21
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:30
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.84%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 18:29
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 18:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.66%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -18.07%E -5.31%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -8.87%E -5.72%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -14.45%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -20.48%E -6.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.40%EV -9.46%E -6.14%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -16.16%E -3.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.70%E -4.90%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.25%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 18:29
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.91%EV -15.34%E -10.65%K -34.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.07%EV -17.87%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.02%EV -24.09%E -7.65%K -11.21%G +0.000%22.0%2026-03-21 18:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -18.72%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -23.00%E -5.11%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -20.48%E -6.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-21 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-21 18:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-03-21 18:30