Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 4.93
assuming max odds 3.56
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modena (Local): 50.29%; Hellas Verona (Visit): 22.10%; Draw: 27.61%. For Hellas Verona (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.96%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.63%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.62%EV +8.96%E +1.82%K +2.28%G +0.204% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +6.09%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.098% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +6.09%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.098% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV +6.09%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.098% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -12.00%E -6.86%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV +3.88%E +0.825%K +1.05%G +0.041% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.57%EV -8.98%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV +1.67%E +0.362%K +0.463%G +0.008% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV +0.562%E +0.123%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -9.43%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.00%E -6.86%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.00%E -6.86%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.51%EV -2.53%E -0.574%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -1.70%E -0.477%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 17:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -4.30%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 17:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.86%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 17:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -4.96%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.48%EV -12.50%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.07%EV -12.04%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.70%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.49%E -5.89%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.18%EV -13.01%E -7.52%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -13.02%E -4.13%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.15%EV -17.53%E -10.69%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.79%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -8.98%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -16.01%E -4.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -17.12%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.07%EV -12.50%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -19.33%E -5.30%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52% | 1.6% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 2.3% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |