مدرسة الاحتمالات

Modena v Frosinone

البداية: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Modena 1–2 Frosinone

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Modena (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.44%2.82السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -0.920%
Kelly -1.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.67%35.50%35.43%38.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.542.552.7543.48%39.40%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Frosinone (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.47%2.67السعر العادل
EV -0.703%
الأفضلية -0.265%
Kelly -0.426%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.56%37.40%37.46%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.502.492.6545.45%40.04%40.16%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.09%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.49%
الأفضلية -0.691%
Kelly -0.957%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.10%27.11%27.11%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.78%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -2.53%E -0.920%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.26%EV -2.58%E -0.991%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 12:40
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.53%E -0.920%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -3.59%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -3.59%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:39
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.93%EV -5.37%E -2.01%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.15%EV -5.95%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:50
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.69%EV -5.72%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.80%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -4.45%E -1.75%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.49%E -0.691%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.45%E -1.75%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.07%E -2.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.07%E -2.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -7.14%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.58%E -0.991%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -10.82%E -4.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -16.03%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:40
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.07%E -4.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -16.03%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -17.56%E -7.98%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.22%EV -12.10%E -4.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.31%EV -14.57%E -6.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.47%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 12:38
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -13.82%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:39
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:50
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:49
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -0.703%E -0.265%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:49
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.94%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.82%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -15.65%E -6.57%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -1.45%E -0.552%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 12:40
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -15.65%E -6.57%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -1.45%E -0.552%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -16.71%E -7.11%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -2.58%E -0.991%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 12:39
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -18.48%E -8.04%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -4.45%E -1.75%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 12:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-04-18 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%2.3%2026-04-18 12:50