L’École des cotes

Mantova v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 38.82%2.58cote équitable
EV -0.230%
Avantage -0.089%
Kelly -0.146%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.98%38.89%38.84%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.312.382.5750.00%43.31%42.02%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.27%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.967%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.65%31.17%31.27%33.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.023.003.3038.02%33.10%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.91%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.94%29.88%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.50%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:53
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -20.42%E -9.96%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -0.249%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -6.38%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 12:59
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -22.36%E -11.18%K -22.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -1.50%E -0.476%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.06%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.06%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.02%EV -5.28%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.75%EV -6.44%E -2.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.30%E -0.394%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:00
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:53
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -14.16%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.75%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:59
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.98%EV -0.230%E -0.089%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.55%EV -8.69%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 12:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 12:58
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.80%EV -11.88%E -5.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.17%EV -9.67%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -17.76%E -6.75%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%0.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.0%2026-04-06 13:00