La escuela de los momios

Mantova v Virtus Entella

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mantova (Local)

Predicción 38.82%2.58momio equitativo
EV -0.230%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.146%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.98%38.89%38.84%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.312.382.5750.00%43.31%42.02%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Predicción 31.27%3.20momio equitativo
EV +3.19%
Ventaja +0.967%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.65%31.17%31.27%33.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.023.003.3038.02%33.10%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.394%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.94%29.88%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.50%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:53
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -18.48%E -8.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV +3.19%E +0.967%K +1.39%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -2.80%E -0.860%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -19.25%E -9.26%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -20.42%E -9.96%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV +1.63%E +0.501%K +0.723%G +0.012%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -0.249%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -6.38%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 12:59
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -22.36%E -11.18%K -22.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -1.50%E -0.476%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.06%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.06%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.02%EV -5.28%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.75%EV -6.44%E -2.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.30%E -0.394%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:00
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:53
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 12:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -14.16%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.75%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:59
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.98%EV -0.230%E -0.089%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.55%EV -8.69%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 12:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 12:58
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 12:59
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.80%EV -11.88%E -5.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.17%EV -9.67%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -17.76%E -6.75%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -16.25%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%0.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.0%2026-04-06 13:00