The School of Odds
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Mantova v Cremonese

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:00 UTC

Final: Mantova 0–2 Cremonese

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mantova (Local)

Prediction 42.45%2.36fair odd
EV -0.676%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.27%42.40%42.34%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.152.152.3451.81%46.55%46.51%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cremonese (Visit)

Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.701%
Kelly +0.979%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%28.99%29.23%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.183.153.5335.09%31.40%31.75%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.888%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%28.61%28.43%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.253.4034.48%31.11%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mantova (Local): 42.45%; Cremonese (Visit): 29.03%; Draw: 28.52%. For Cremonese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.23%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV +2.48%E +0.701%K +0.979%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-27 18:50
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.30%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 18:44
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.30%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.11%E -7.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -1.30%E -0.382%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:17
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.19%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -1.59%E -0.468%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:17
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:17
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.75%E -0.821%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.54%EV -7.01%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 18:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-27 18:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-27 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 18:50
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 18:44
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -13.41%E -6.57%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 18:18
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -14.26%E -7.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 18:18
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -17.28%E -5.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.60%EV -0.676%E -0.289%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -14.26%E -7.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 18:18
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -15.11%E -7.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-27 18:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 15:00
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 18:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-27 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-27 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 18:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.99%E -6.33%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-27 18:44
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.02%EV -14.26%E -7.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.49%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-27 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%EV -18.08%E -9.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-27 18:17
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 18:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 18:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -15.23%E -5.22%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.01%EV -13.57%E -4.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-27 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.81%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -15.11%E -7.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -17.26%E -6.06%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.49%EV -15.85%E -5.37%K -8.13%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-27 18:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-10-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-10-27 18:55
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-10-27 18:55

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