Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Juve Stabia v Spezia

Начало: 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Juve Stabia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.09%2.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.26%
Преимущество -1.83%
Kelly -3.20%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.71%41.13%41.14%42.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.222.232.3350.00%44.95%44.84%42.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Spezia (Гости)

Прогноз 27.49%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.48%
Преимущество +1.18%
Kelly +1.60%
Рост +0.072%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.83%27.38%27.32%29.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.323.273.8033.33%30.13%30.53%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 31.41%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.04%
Преимущество -0.332%
Kelly -0.486%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.11%31.48%31.54%34.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.932.913.1541.67%34.08%34.36%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Juve Stabia (Хозяева): 41.09%; Spezia (Гости): 27.49%; Ничья: 31.41%. Для исхода «Spezia (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.64. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.48%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.52%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.02%EV -7.96%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.91%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.91%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV +1.73%E +0.468%K +0.641%G +0.011%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.18%E -5.62%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV +1.73%E +0.468%K +0.641%G +0.011%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:00
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +0.355%E +0.097%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:58
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -17.69%E -6.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -7.96%E -3.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -1.57%E -0.438%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -9.21%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.15%EV -5.08%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.76%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.69%E -6.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -18.32%E -7.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.53%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 13:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -14.94%E -7.22%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 40.84%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.13%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.03%EV -24.61%E -10.25%K -17.58%G +0.000%22.4%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:57
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -14.22%E -4.56%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.42%E -4.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.42%E -4.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.52%E -5.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-03-21 14:00