La escuela de los momios

Juve Stabia v Spezia

Inicio: 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 41.09%2.43momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.71%41.13%41.14%42.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.232.3350.00%44.95%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Spezia (Visitante)

Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV +4.48%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.072%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%27.38%27.32%29.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.273.8033.33%30.13%30.53%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.41%3.18momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.11%31.48%31.54%34.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.932.913.1541.67%34.08%34.36%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.52%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.02%EV -7.96%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 13:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.91%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.91%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV +4.48%E +1.18%K +1.60%G +0.072%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV +1.73%E +0.468%K +0.641%G +0.011%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.18%E -5.62%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV +1.73%E +0.468%K +0.641%G +0.011%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:00
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -6.31%E -2.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +0.355%E +0.097%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:58
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -1.02%E -0.283%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -17.69%E -6.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -7.96%E -3.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -1.57%E -0.438%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -9.21%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.15%EV -5.08%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.76%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.69%E -6.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 13:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 13:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -18.32%E -7.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 14:00
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -7.89%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 13:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.53%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 13:59
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -14.94%E -7.22%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.61%E -4.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 13:59
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 40.84%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.13%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.03%EV -24.61%E -10.25%K -17.58%G +0.000%22.4%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.02%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:57
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.37%E -3.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -1.04%E -0.332%K -0.486%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.25%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -7.33%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -14.22%E -4.56%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 13:59
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.42%E -4.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -10.42%E -4.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.77%E -4.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.61%E -0.844%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -16.14%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.90%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.52%E -5.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-03-21 14:00