L’École des cotes

Juve Stabia v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prévision 38.83%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.81%38.61%38.82%39.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.362.372.5046.51%42.37%42.19%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.092%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.15%29.53%28.97%32.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.133.103.4337.74%31.95%32.26%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.11%3.11cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.366%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.72%31.86%32.21%33.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.882.903.1540.00%34.68%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -17.17%E -6.03%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV +1.15%E +0.366%K +0.536%G +0.006%6.8%2026-03-04 19:00
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -17.17%E -6.03%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -0.453%E -0.146%K -0.216%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 19:00
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -6.13%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -2.70%E -0.891%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:53
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.92%E -4.28%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 18:58
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -20.08%E -7.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -11.48%E -5.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -11.36%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -0.317%E -0.092%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -21.53%E -7.97%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-04 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -22.99%E -8.67%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 19:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:59
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -8.48%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -8.48%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 19:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.48%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 18:59
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.43%E -2.67%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -4.68%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -8.80%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 18:58
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.495%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 18:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-04 18:59
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -15.72%E -5.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.495%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 19:00
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -6.43%E -2.67%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -12.01%E -4.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 18:57
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -6.43%E -2.67%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -12.01%E -4.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.15%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.19%EV -14.27%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.66%EV -12.66%E -4.65%K -7.36%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 18:58
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.30%E -4.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -13.30%E -4.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.30%E -4.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-04 19:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -16.52%E -7.69%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -19.72%E -7.89%K -13.15%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-04 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93%1.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85%1.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.26%2.0%2026-03-04 19:00