The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juve Stabia v Hellas Verona

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 19:02 UTC

Final: Juve Stabia 0–1 Hellas Verona

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV -0.902%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.17%31.63%31.56%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.903.1437.74%34.65%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hellas Verona (Visit)

Prediction 39.82%2.51fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.87%39.83%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4148.78%43.52%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV +0.159%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.063%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.50%28.61%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.213.203.5033.90%31.13%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juve Stabia (Local): 31.56%; Hellas Verona (Visit): 39.82%; Draw: 28.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.159%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-28 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 18:39
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.81%EV -0.902%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.31%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 18:40
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 18:28
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 18:25
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 18:25
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 18:47
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 18:50
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:30
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.50%EV -4.03%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 18:53
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-28 18:10
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.84%E -2.69%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-28 18:30
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 18:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-28 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -9.20%E -4.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-28 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-28 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 14:05
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 18:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 18:30
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-28 18:29
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-28 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-28 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.36%EV -16.37%E -6.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.52%EV -13.58%E -6.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-28 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-28 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.03%EV -13.58%E -6.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-28 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.20%EV -18.36%E -8.96%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.63%EV -15.58%E -5.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-28 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-10-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-10-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-10-28 18:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-10-28 18:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-10-28 18:55