L’École des cotes

Juve Stabia v Frosinone

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Score final : Juve Stabia 0–1 Frosinone

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prévision 29.28%3.42cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.379%
Kelly +0.534%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.35%29.19%29.40%30.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.183.203.4634.48%31.48%31.25%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frosinone (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.19%2.32cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.07%43.24%43.13%45.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.56%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.891%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%27.57%27.47%28.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.323.5533.33%30.13%30.12%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 27.85%EV +1.31%E +0.379%K +0.534%G +0.007%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.21%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -0.444%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -2.55%E -0.719%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -2.20%E -0.659%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.60%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -11.03%E -5.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -2.27%E -0.640%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.76%E -6.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.62%EV -14.92%E -7.57%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -17.51%E -9.17%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.84%EV -8.60%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -15.08%E -5.20%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00