La escuela de los momios

Juve Stabia v Frosinone

Inicio: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Final: Juve Stabia 0–1 Frosinone

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.534%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.35%29.19%29.40%30.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.183.203.4634.48%31.48%31.25%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Frosinone (Visitante)

Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.07%43.24%43.13%45.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.56%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -0.891%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.57%27.47%28.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.323.5533.33%30.13%30.12%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 27.85%EV +1.31%E +0.379%K +0.534%G +0.007%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.21%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -0.444%E -0.131%K -0.185%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -2.55%E -0.719%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -2.20%E -0.659%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.60%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -11.03%E -5.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -2.27%E -0.640%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.76%E -6.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.62%EV -14.92%E -7.57%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -17.51%E -9.17%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.84%EV -8.60%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -13.62%E -6.81%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -15.08%E -5.20%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00