The School of Odds
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Hellas Verona v Pisa

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 16:16 UTC

Final: Hellas Verona 1–1 Pisa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.93%44.12%43.91%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.102.102.2354.05%47.54%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pisa (Visit)

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +0.821%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%28.21%28.46%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.223.203.6035.09%31.09%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%27.67%27.62%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.6033.33%30.37%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hellas Verona (Local): 43.97%; Pisa (Visit): 28.37%; Draw: 27.66%. For Pisa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +2.13%E +0.593%K +0.821%G +0.018%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:12
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -15.14%E -7.84%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV +2.13%E +0.593%K +0.821%G +0.018%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 16:13
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.99%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV +1.85%E +0.515%K +0.714%G +0.013%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -7.89%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 16:14
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -8.55%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -0.703%E -0.201%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -0.703%E -0.201%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 16:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -0.703%E -0.201%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -17.02%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 16:13
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.59%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -2.69%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -7.89%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 16:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 16:06
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 16:13
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.421%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:12
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:56
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:56
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 15:50
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 15:57
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 15:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 16:13
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.55%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.55%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 15:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 16:02
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 16:02
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 16:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 16:01
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.71%EV -6.35%E -2.98%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -8.65%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 15:36
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -0.421%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 16:13
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 16:14
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 15:50
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.55%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 16:13
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.94%E -6.54%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -11.48%E -3.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -12.04%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.95%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 15:57
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 15:57
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 15:56
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -18.66%E -10.09%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 16:06
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.20%EV -11.18%E -5.54%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.89%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -12.87%E -4.09%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-25 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -16.31%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -16.31%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.87%E -4.09%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 41.94%EV -10.30%E -5.05%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.02%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -15.63%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-25 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-25 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-25 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-25 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-10-25 16:14
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-10-25 16:14