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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hellas Verona v Ascoli

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 60.07%1.66fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -4.86%
Kelly -13.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.66%60.07%60.07%60.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.511.5466.67%66.01%66.23%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ascoli (Visit)

Prediction 14.23%7.03fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.91%14.23%14.23%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.256.506.5018.18%16.00%15.38%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%25.70%25.70%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.6030.77%28.88%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hellas Verona (Local): 60.07%; Ascoli (Visit): 14.23%; Draw: 25.70%. For Ascoli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.50, with an expected value of -7.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.07%EV -7.49%E -4.86%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.49%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -8.69%E -5.72%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.49%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.89%E -6.60%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.49%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 19:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.66%EV -9.89%E -6.60%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -21.72%E -3.95%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -16.48%E -5.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-23 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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