Hellas Verona v Ascoli

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

60%

15%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd

EV -5.04%

Edge -3.19%

Kelly -8.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.66%60.10%60.10%60.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.441.501.501.5869%67%67%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ascoli (Visit)

Prediction 14.72%6.80fair odd

EV -0.667%

Edge -0.099%

Kelly -0.116%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.52%14.72%14.72%15.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.306.066.256.7519%16%16%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.19%3.97fair odd

EV -3.03%

Edge -0.788%

Kelly -1.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.67%25.19%25.19%26.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.433.503.8531%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.03%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-23 23:04
FanDuel	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.07%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.79%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-23 20:00
1xBet	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.42%EV -9.25%E -6.13%K -18.14%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -0.667%E -0.099%K -0.116%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.35%E -0.669%K -0.790%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-23 20:00
Sky Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 57.66%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -19.06%E -3.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -18.15%E -5.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-23 22:30
Winamax (DE)	1.48I 67.57%NM 58.84%EV -11.05%E -7.47%K -23.03%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -17.59%E -3.14%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-23 19:59
Unibet (FR)	1.45I 68.97%NM 58.56%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.57%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 14.90%EV -16.12%E -2.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -19.41%E -6.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-07-23 19:59
Winamax (FR)	1.45I 68.97%NM 58.15%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.57%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 15.91%EV -22.01%E -4.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 25.94%EV -18.15%E -5.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%	18.6%	2026-07-23 20:00
Betclic (FR)	1.44I 69.44%NM 58.67%EV -13.46%E -9.35%K -30.59%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 15.09%EV -17.59%E -3.14%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 26.24%EV -18.90%E -5.87%K -8.51%G +0.000%	18.4%	2026-07-23 20:03

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.