Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona v Arezzo

2026-09-06 15:15 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.78%55.39%55.43%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.671.7564.52%60.24%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arezzo (Visit)

Prediction 19.15%5.22fair odd
EV +13.00%
Edge +2.20%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.345%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%19.15%19.13%21.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.774.755.9023.81%20.98%21.05%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.63%25.45%25.44%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.05%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hellas Verona (Local): 55.44%; Arezzo (Visit): 19.15%; Draw: 25.41%. For Arezzo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.90, producing a positive expected value of +13.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.44%EV -11.85%E -7.45%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +13.00%E +2.20%K +2.65%G +0.345%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:28
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -12.41%E -7.85%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +10.13%E +1.76%K +2.13%G +0.216%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +5.34%E +0.971%K +1.19%G +0.063%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -0.406%E -0.078%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.24%E -0.847%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.18%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.24%E -0.847%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.24%E -0.847%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 21:29
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -4.24%E -0.847%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -16.15%E -4.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 16:30
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.81%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.98%EV -5.39%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.74%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.26%EV -5.77%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.00%EV -3.70%E -0.977%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -6.15%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 21:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -6.15%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.15%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -6.31%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.07%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 21:29
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.15%EV -11.85%E -7.45%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.78%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -11.90%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.43%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-31 21:29
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.81%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.81%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 21:29
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.81%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.81%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.73%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -17.07%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.56%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.56%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.56%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:29
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.56%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%16.8%2026-08-31 21:30