Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Empoli v Palermo

2026-10-10 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Empoli (Local)

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%24.58%24.53%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.754.0030.30%27.11%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Visit)

Prediction 48.83%2.05fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.77%48.80%49.05%49.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.871.911.9358.48%53.40%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV -0.294%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.62%26.42%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.403.303.7532.79%29.46%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Empoli (Local): 24.58%; Palermo (Visit): 48.83%; Draw: 26.59%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.294%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.69%E -0.423%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 13:34
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.45%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 13:49
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -0.294%E -0.078%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-21 15:29
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 13:00
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 13:09
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -7.70%E -4.08%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 14:10
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -7.34%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 14:13
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.27%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 17:29
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 13:28
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 13:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 13:29
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.62%E -0.439%K -0.601%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 13:17
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 13:19
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.97%EV -10.14%E -5.51%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-21 12:58
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.08%EV -14.05%E -7.98%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.74%EV -18.91%E -6.20%K -9.22%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-21 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 48.80%EV -16.49%E -9.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -18.91%E -6.20%K -9.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-21 12:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -15.21%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.77%EV -12.10%E -6.72%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-21 13:00
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -16.44%E -4.83%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-21 13:04
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -12.10%E -6.72%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-21 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.