L’École des cotes

Empoli v Mantova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Empoli (Local)

Prévision 45.69%2.19cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.50%45.63%45.63%46.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.012.1054.05%49.78%49.75%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mantova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.94%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.876%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%25.79%26.04%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.9930.77%28.54%28.57%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.37%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.58%28.33%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.203.253.4038.46%31.27%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV +3.49%E +0.876%K +1.17%G +0.041%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.55%EV -7.22%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.14%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -11.48%E -3.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:45
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.14%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -11.48%E -3.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -7.25%E -3.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.78%EV -1.95%E -0.517%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.09%EV -8.64%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -1.95%E -0.517%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 13:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.00%EV -4.97%E -2.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 13:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.00%EV -4.97%E -2.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 13:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 13:55
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:05
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.97%E -2.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 13:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 13:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 05:34
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 03:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -21.97%E -7.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.76%EV -10.91%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.15%EV -10.06%E -3.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 13:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 13:55
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.50%EV -15.48%E -8.37%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-14 13:49
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:04
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:05
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.17%EV -15.48%E -8.37%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.39%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.43%EV -26.23%E -10.09%K -16.39%G +0.000%22.4%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 05:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -11.36%E -5.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -15.70%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -15.70%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -18.29%E -6.35%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-14 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-03-14 13:50