Cesena FC v Sampdoria

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

34%

36%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cesena FC (Local)

Prediction 34.25%2.92fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -1.46%

Kelly -2.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.94%34.25%34.40%34.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.592.622.8042%39%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sampdoria (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd

EV -5.76%

Edge -2.22%

Kelly -3.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.69%36.25%35.80%37.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.302.472.502.6043%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd

EV -2.64%

Edge -0.800%

Kelly -1.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.80%29.50%29.80%29.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.883.023.003.3035%33%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-23 23:04
FanDuel	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-23 20:00
Betsson	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -8.21%E -3.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-23 20:00
NordicBet	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -8.21%E -3.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -9.23%E -3.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-23 19:59
1xBet	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
Winamax (DE)	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -14.37%E -5.75%K -9.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-07-23 19:59
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.37%E -5.75%K -9.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -15.03%E -5.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-07-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.37%E -5.75%K -9.58%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betclic (FR)	2.48I 40.32%NM 34.20%EV -15.06%E -6.07%K -10.17%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 36.56%EV -15.91%E -6.86%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-07-23 20:03
Winamax (FR)	2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -17.80%E -7.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -16.63%E -7.23%K -12.80%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%	19.6%	2026-07-23 20:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.