Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cesena FC v Sampdoria

Início: 2026-08-23 19:02 UTC

Final: Cesena FC 1–1 Sampdoria

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cesena FC (Local)

Previsão 36.70%2.72odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.34%36.69%36.71%38.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.14%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sampdoria (Visitante)

Previsão 33.68%2.97odd justa
EV -0.294%
Vantagem -0.099%
Kelly -0.150%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.52%33.61%33.84%34.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.752.9639.22%36.70%36.36%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.62%3.38odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -0.687%
Kelly -0.986%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.56%29.70%29.45%31.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.12%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cesena FC (Local): 36.70%; Sampdoria (Visitante): 33.68%; Empate: 29.62%. Para Sampdoria (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.96, com valor esperado de -0.294%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -0.294%E -0.099%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -8.49%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.09%EV -4.34%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.09%EV -4.34%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.27%E -0.687%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:39
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 18:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:49
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.80%EV -8.38%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.80%EV -8.38%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:25
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -6.78%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:49
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:35
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 18:54
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:49
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.89%EV -13.23%E -4.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 18:48
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:49
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:50
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:49
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.65%EV -13.02%E -5.49%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.95%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.76%E -5.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -15.59%E -6.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.10%E -5.53%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-23 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-08-23 18:54
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-08-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-23 18:50
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.3%2026-08-23 18:54