默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cesena FC v Cremonese

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 17:32 UTC

最终结果: Cesena FC 2–2 Cremonese

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cesena FC (主队)

预测 30.21%3.31公平赔率
EV -0.306%
优势 -0.093%
Kelly -0.133%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%30.27%30.19%31.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.033.023.3035.71%32.98%33.06%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cremonese (客队)

预测 40.81%2.45公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -0.859%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.41%40.77%40.78%41.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.252.252.4048.31%44.51%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.98%3.45公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.429%
Kelly -0.608%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.44%28.96%29.03%30.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.163.203.4034.48%31.63%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cesena FC (主队):30.21%;Cremonese (客队):40.81%;平局:28.98%。 对于“Cesena FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.31。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.30,期望值为-0.306%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -0.306%E -0.093%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -4.94%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.80%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:04
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:30
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:38
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:01
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.94%EV -7.25%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.06%E -0.859%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.49%EV -6.68%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:26
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:25
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:25
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -11.04%E -5.06%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -11.45%E -5.28%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -11.45%E -5.28%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.06%E -0.859%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.46%E -0.429%K -0.608%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 17:19
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 17:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.95%E -5.50%K -8.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18%EV -11.86%E -5.49%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.30%E -6.81%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -11.60%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 17:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 17:18
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:26
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.96%E -3.05%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 17:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:06
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.02%EV -13.49%E -6.36%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.55%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.40%EV -15.53%E -7.50%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.50%E -4.92%K -7.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-12 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -12.99%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -13.90%E -4.88%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -15.41%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -10.15%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-12 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%0.4%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%0.4%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%0.4%2026-09-12 17:26
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-09-12 17:26
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-12 17:26