La escuela de los momios

Carrarese v Palermo

Inicio: 2026-03-08 16:17 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV +3.77%
Ventaja +0.981%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%27.02%27.01%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.343.303.8432.79%29.95%30.30%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palermo (Visitante)

Predicción 43.78%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%43.71%43.73%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.122.152.2252.63%47.28%46.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.38%29.28%29.26%31.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.113.203.3038.46%32.13%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV +3.77%E +0.981%K +1.33%G +0.050%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.91%EV -9.39%E -4.53%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.33%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 16:14
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.794%E +0.213%K +0.291%G +0.002%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -4.13%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 16:14
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:15
theScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.37%E -0.375%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:15
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.01%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 16:14
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.01%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 16:15
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 16:14
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 16:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -2.72%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -18.23%E -6.51%K -10.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:15
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -8.95%E -4.30%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:10
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 16:14
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:14
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:14
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:14
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -18.23%E -6.51%K -10.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 16:14
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 16:14
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -15.95%E -8.31%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 16:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 16:14
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:14
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:14
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 16:14
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 16:15
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 16:15
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.95%E -4.30%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 16:14
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -19.69%E -7.16%K -11.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -16.39%E -8.58%K -18.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -15.90%E -5.52%K -8.46%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 16:15
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:14
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:14
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 16:14
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.66%EV -15.51%E -8.04%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-08 16:13
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:14
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:14
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 25.25%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.19%EV -16.83%E -8.86%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.56%EV -24.07%E -9.26%K -15.05%G +0.000%21.9%2026-03-08 16:14
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.59%EV -12.72%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.26%E -5.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -10.06%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 16:09
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:14
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 16:14
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.88%E -4.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.88%E -4.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 16:14
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:07
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:15
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:15
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -4.57%E -2.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 16:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -16.23%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -4.57%E -2.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 16:14
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -17.58%E -5.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -5.88%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-03-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-03-08 16:15
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-03-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-03-08 16:14
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%2.6%2026-03-08 16:15