Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Carrarese v Empoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 17:30 UTC

Score final : Carrarese 0–1 Empoli

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Carrarese (Local)

Prévision 39.17%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.827%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.57%39.08%39.12%40.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.382.5046.51%42.55%42.02%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.31%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.943%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%31.38%31.41%32.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.923.1037.04%34.27%34.31%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.51%3.39cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.482%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.33%29.54%29.47%31.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.113.3534.48%32.19%32.15%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carrarese (Local) : 39.17% ; Empoli (Visiteur) : 31.31% ; Match nul : 29.51%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.35, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -2.07%E -0.827%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -14.41%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.42%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 10:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.10%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.39%EV -6.37%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 05:39
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 22:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -1.13%E -0.338%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -6.15%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:55
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:59
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 05:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 05:29
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 05:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:16
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:14
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -8.73%E -3.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.98%EV -8.25%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -10.87%E -3.60%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:34
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -8.73%E -3.75%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 04:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:14
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 10:04
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 10:05
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.52%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 10:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.52%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 08:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 00:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.09%EV -13.04%E -5.87%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.41%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-04 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -14.41%E -4.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -15.78%E -7.34%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%3.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%3.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%4.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%8.2%2026-09-04 14:35