The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Benevento v US Catanzaro 1929

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 18:00 UTC

Final: Benevento 1–1 US Catanzaro 1929

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benevento (Local)

Prediction 60.43%1.65fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.61%60.42%60.40%63.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.23%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)

Prediction 17.75%5.63fair odd
EV +4.91%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 5.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.54%17.73%17.75%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.085.005.9123.09%19.70%20.00%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.52%21.85%21.85%23.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.114.004.5027.03%24.35%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benevento (Local): 60.43%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 17.75%; Draw: 21.82%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.03%EV +4.91%E +0.831%K +1.00%G +0.049%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.63%EV -12.51%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -10.56%E -7.14%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +2.96%E +0.510%K +0.617%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.82%E -0.405%K -0.521%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 17:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -14.19%E -9.99%K -33.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV +2.96%E +0.510%K +0.617%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -6.19%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-27 17:55
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -9.96%E -6.68%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +2.07%E +0.360%K +0.436%G +0.009%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.91%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.13%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -1.82%E -0.405%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.75%E -5.79%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -0.590%E -0.105%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.01%E -0.910%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.75%E -5.79%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -0.590%E -0.105%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.01%E -0.910%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.94%E -4.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.01%E -0.910%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.60%EV -8.75%E -5.79%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.53%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -10.56%E -7.14%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -2.37%E -0.430%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.01%E -0.910%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -4.14%E -0.767%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.01%E -0.910%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.82%E -0.405%K -0.521%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 17:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.35%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -1.82%E -0.405%K -0.521%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.35%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.35%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.80%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -9.46%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -9.46%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.19%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:34
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:34
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 17:40
picklebet_au🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-27 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 14:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 17:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.98%E -9.01%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -5.53%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.98%E -9.01%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.24%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -5.53%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.11%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -13.02%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -6.19%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -13.02%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.91%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.13%EV -12.37%E -8.53%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -13.02%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%EV -13.82%E -3.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-27 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.79%EV -11.17%E -7.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -13.90%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.08%EV -13.17%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-27 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.95%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -14.79%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -6.94%E -4.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -15.68%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -6.94%E -4.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -15.68%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 15:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -15.68%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -14.91%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.66%EV -9.35%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -16.57%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-27 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -16.57%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -17.10%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-27 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.07%EV -15.40%E -11.00%K -38.49%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.09%EV -17.45%E -3.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.84%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-27 17:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -18.34%E -3.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -18.34%E -3.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 17:30
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -18.34%E -3.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.84%EV -10.56%E -7.14%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -20.12%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.14%EV -19.28%E -5.21%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-27 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -23.13%E -5.34%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-27 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-10-27 17:55
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-10-27 17:50
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.