The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Benevento v US Catanzaro 1929

2026-10-27 18:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benevento (Local)

Prediction 48.24%2.07fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.24%48.15%49.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.871.901.9359.17%53.35%52.63%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%25.76%25.75%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.553.6530.77%28.37%28.17%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%26.00%26.10%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.5530.77%28.82%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Benevento (Local): 48.24%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 25.76%; Draw: 26.00%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -5.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.35%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:04
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.35%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.79%E -5.24%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -10.28%E -5.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.76%E -5.82%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-20 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.24%E -6.11%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-20 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -12.21%E -6.71%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-20 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.69%E -7.01%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-20 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -13.17%E -7.32%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -16.29%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-20 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -14.13%E -7.94%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-20 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 49.40%EV -18.48%E -10.93%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.30%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.30%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-20 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.