Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Benevento v Hellas Verona

Inizio: 2026-09-11 19:00 UTC

Finale: Benevento 3–1 Hellas Verona

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Benevento (Casa)

Previsione 33.02%3.03quota equa
EV +0.696%
Vantaggio +0.228%
Kelly +0.340%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.70%32.87%33.10%35.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.842.843.0539.22%35.27%35.21%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hellas Verona (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.40%2.67quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.482%
Kelly -0.776%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.43%37.44%37.36%40.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.412.402.6446.73%41.55%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.59%3.38quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.51%29.69%29.54%31.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.103.2534.48%32.10%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Benevento (Casa): 33.02%; Hellas Verona (Trasferta): 37.40%; Pareggio: 29.59%. Per Benevento (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.03. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.696%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:04
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +0.696%E +0.228%K +0.340%G +0.002%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -0.955%E -0.318%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 09:25
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.61%E -0.883%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 09:29
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -1.27%E -0.482%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV -9.46%E -3.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 09:35
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:00
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:30
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -16.60%E -7.45%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 09:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -16.60%E -7.45%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -17.73%E -8.06%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -4.92%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -17.73%E -8.06%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.45%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.57%EV -13.01%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.45%EV -5.58%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.57%EV -13.01%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:30
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.91%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:35
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -6.57%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.99%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -6.57%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.99%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:14
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 09:29
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 09:30
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.70%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.17%EV -19.97%E -9.33%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -12.72%E -4.31%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:15
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.79%EV -10.20%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.96%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 09:30
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 02:15
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.69%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.69%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:16
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -11.37%E -4.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -11.37%E -4.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:29
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.39%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.45%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.20%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.94%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -14.20%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 12:34
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -15.81%E -6.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%3.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.50%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-09-09 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.50%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-09-09 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.50%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-09-09 12:00
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%5.4%2026-09-09 14:20