Language:English
Benevento v Cesena FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Benevento (Local)
Prediction 49.50%2.02fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.34%49.55%49.48%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.851.851.9360.24%54.06%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cesena FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.17%24.06%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.0028.57%26.45%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.412%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.28%26.47%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benevento (Local): 49.50%; Cesena FC (Visit): 24.14%; Draw: 26.36%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -4.47%E -2.32%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -4.41%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -4.97%E -2.59%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.59%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.59%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.46%E -2.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.96%E -3.13%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.96%E -3.13%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -6.45%E -3.41%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.95%E -3.69%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 13:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.95%E -3.69%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.95%E -3.69%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.95%E -3.69%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.41%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.24%EV -7.94%E -4.27%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -5.62%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.45%E -0.663%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.43%E -4.56%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -8.93%E -4.85%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.41%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.45%E -0.663%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-30 13:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-02 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-02 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-02 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -9.42%E -5.15%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -9.92%E -5.45%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.92%E -5.45%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.97%EV -9.92%E -5.45%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.91%E -6.06%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.91%E -6.06%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.91%E -6.06%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -10.91%E -6.06%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-02 06:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -11.90%E -6.68%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-02 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -11.90%E -6.68%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -14.31%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.38%E -7.65%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -13.38%E -7.65%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-03 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.34%EV -17.84%E -10.74%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.54%EV -14.31%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -15.63%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27% | 16.4% | 2026-09-30 13:05 |