The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Benevento v Avellino

2026-11-07 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benevento (Local)

Prediction 51.51%1.94fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -7.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.00%51.51%51.51%52.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.751.791.8263.29%57.01%55.87%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avellino (Visit)

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV -6.34%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.58%22.84%22.84%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.974.044.1027.78%25.21%24.72%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%25.64%25.64%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.6530.30%28.24%28.17%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Benevento (Local): 51.51%; Avellino (Visit): 22.84%; Draw: 25.64%. For Benevento (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.82, with an expected value of -6.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.81%EV -6.57%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.61%EV -10.37%E -5.96%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.56%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.40%E -6.63%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-31 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.12%EV -11.40%E -6.63%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -15.48%E -4.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.56%EV -12.43%E -7.31%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -12.51%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.04%E -3.51%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 18:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.00%EV -13.46%E -8.01%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -17.76%E -4.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-31 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.75%EV -14.49%E -8.73%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -13.19%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -14.09%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 52.31%EV -18.61%E -11.78%K -32.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.64%EV -16.62%E -4.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.05%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%21.0%2026-10-31 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.