L’École des cotes

Bari v Reggiana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bari (Local)

Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.61%42.62%42.59%43.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.172.172.2551.28%46.12%46.08%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Reggiana (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +0.670%
Kelly +0.906%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%26.68%26.76%29.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.363.403.8432.79%29.72%29.41%26.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.64%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.14%30.70%30.65%33.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.973.003.1540.82%33.66%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV +2.57%E +0.670%K +0.906%G +0.023%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.62%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.29%EV -9.15%E -4.30%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -1.17%E -0.315%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:52
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -1.17%E -0.315%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.75%E -5.73%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:48
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.50%E -0.685%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:55
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.88%EV -3.30%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.54%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:55
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -7.44%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -3.30%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.71%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 13:50
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 13:20
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.44%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.44%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 13:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -19.73%E -7.53%K -12.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 13:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 41.93%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.61%EV -19.73%E -7.53%K -12.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 13:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 13:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -20.35%E -7.83%K -12.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 13:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 13:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -7.02%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -7.02%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:09
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.56%E -6.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 13:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -11.28%E -5.42%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -10.24%E -3.49%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 13:38
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -4.42%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 13:20
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 41.90%EV -16.83%E -8.63%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.76%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.35%EV -24.94%E -10.18%K -17.20%G +0.000%22.4%2026-03-14 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 13:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.29%EV -12.69%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 13:40
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.14%EV -15.12%E -7.60%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.44%EV -13.61%E -4.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 13:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.56%E -6.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 13:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.75%E -5.73%K -9.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -18.53%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -18.53%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.16%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -18.53%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%1.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%1.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.9%2026-03-14 13:55