La escuela de los momios

Bari v Carrarese

Inicio: 2026-03-22 14:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bari (Local)

Predicción 31.06%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.291%
Ventaja -0.091%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.63%31.16%31.06%33.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.903.2137.04%34.17%34.48%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Carrarese (Visitante)

Predicción 37.56%2.66momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.33%37.37%37.72%40.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.452.462.7547.62%40.81%40.73%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.38%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%31.47%31.22%34.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.902.953.1041.67%34.48%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV +3.29%E +1.20%K +1.88%G +0.062%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 14:00
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.58%EV -1.53%E -0.484%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.00%EV -1.59%E -0.607%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.42%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -1.84%E -0.584%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -2.34%E -0.900%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 14:00
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -1.84%E -0.584%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -2.34%E -0.900%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.59%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.22%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.28%E -5.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 13:58
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 13:58
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:00
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -8.69%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 13:59
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:58
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 13:57
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 14:00
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 14:00
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.63%EV -0.291%E -0.091%K -0.132%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -7.60%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 13:59
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:00
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.50%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 14:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.44%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.50%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 13:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 13:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 14:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 14:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -17.79%E -6.79%K -10.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 14:00
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.97%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.64%EV -17.79%E -6.79%K -10.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -7.97%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.99%E -7.84%K -12.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 14:00
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 13:59
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 13:59
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 13:59
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 13:59
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -9.85%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -18.42%E -7.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 14:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.60%E -4.46%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.98%E -4.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 13:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.98%E -4.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%EV -12.48%E -5.36%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 13:58
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -13.61%E -5.92%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 14:00
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 31.94%EV -16.13%E -5.98%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.33%EV -15.49%E -6.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.74%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-22 13:59
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.08%EV -16.13%E -5.98%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.09%EV -15.49%E -6.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.83%EV -24.70%E -10.29%K -17.64%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-22 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.09%EV -16.61%E -7.48%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -21.12%E -10.06%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-22 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-03-22 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-03-22 14:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%1.4%2026-03-22 14:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.59%2.3%2026-03-22 14:00