Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avellino v Vicenza

Início: 2026-08-29 19:02 UTC

Final: Avellino 3–0 Vicenza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avellino (Local)

Previsão 39.95%2.50odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.704%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.92%40.00%39.88%41.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.302.302.4646.73%43.57%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vicenza (Visitante)

Previsão 29.35%3.41odd justa
EV -0.214%
Vantagem -0.063%
Kelly -0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.04%29.30%29.25%30.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.21%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.70%3.26odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.650%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.24%30.70%30.87%32.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.013.003.2136.36%33.27%33.33%31.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avellino (Local): 39.95%; Vicenza (Visitante): 29.35%; Empate: 30.70%. Para Vicenza (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -0.214%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.38%EV -1.73%E -0.704%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.75%EV -1.09%E -0.325%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -6.66%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -9.11%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -9.11%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:40
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -8.73%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -1.44%E -0.448%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.33%E -2.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:15
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:40
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.89%EV -6.53%E -2.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.99%EV -5.50%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -6.93%E -2.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -12.49%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:33
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:05
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:05
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -12.49%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 07:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 07:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 07:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.03%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 07:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:44
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:43
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -15.56%E -5.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -10.92%E -4.90%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -0.214%E -0.063%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 14:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.89%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.03%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-29 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -14.12%E -6.57%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 39.97%EV -14.51%E -6.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -16.36%E -5.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -12.49%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%2.4%2026-08-29 18:40