Language:English
Avellino v Sampdoria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avellino (Local)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.08%34.71%34.74%38.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.582.622.7542.92%38.76%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sampdoria (Visit)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.55%36.25%36.44%38.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.582.552.8546.51%38.79%39.22%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.03%28.82%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.163.203.4035.09%31.65%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 34.64%; Sampdoria (Visit): 36.52%; Draw: 28.84%. For Sampdoria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -15.14%E -6.18%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +4.09%E +1.43%K +2.21%G +0.090% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -18.61%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV +0.437%E +0.159%K +0.250%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -18.61%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV +0.437%E +0.159%K +0.250%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -18.61%E -7.92%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV +0.437%E +0.159%K +0.250%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -0.659%E -0.242%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -19.30%E -8.28%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -1.39%E -0.515%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.06%EV -5.44%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -9.44%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.06%EV -5.44%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -9.44%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -1.94%E -0.570%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 18:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.16%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -11.62%E -4.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.84%EV -15.78%E -5.41%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-02 05:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 18:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -12.35%E -5.14%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-02 06:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.25%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.42%EV -11.17%E -3.63%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-01 18:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.00%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -21.48%E -9.99%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.69% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 36.45% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.87% | 16.3% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |