The School of Odds
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Avellino v Pisa

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 14:03 UTC

Final: Avellino 2–0 Pisa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avellino (Local)

Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.25%32.64%32.76%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.832.853.0239.22%35.39%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pisa (Visit)

Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV -0.119%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.77%37.99%38.00%39.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.402.6347.62%41.75%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%29.37%29.24%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.13%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 32.71%; Pisa (Visit): 37.98%; Draw: 29.31%. For Pisa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.633. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.630, with an expected value of -0.119%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.15%EV -1.22%E -0.405%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%EV -0.119%E -0.045%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.92%EV -7.95%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 13:45
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -1.88%E -0.625%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 13:54
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -3.84%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -4.30%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:20
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 13:55
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:10
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.52%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.59%EV -8.47%E -3.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.89%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 11:10
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 05:55
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 11:00
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 05:55
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 10:54
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.75%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 05:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 13:25
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 11:10
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 11:09
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.75%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 05:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 11:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 11:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -16.45%E -7.48%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.69%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -14.55%E -6.47%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.72%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.66%EV -11.89%E -5.13%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-01 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -5.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -13.32%E -5.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.86%EV -11.89%E -5.13%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.99%EV -11.18%E -3.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -16.59%E -6.51%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.65%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.39%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-01 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.48%EV -16.59%E -6.51%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.44%EV -20.25%E -9.64%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.08%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-01 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-11-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-11-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-11-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-11-01 13:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-11-01 13:55

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