The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ascoli v Vicenza

2026-11-21 14:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ascoli (Local)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.60%51.60%51.42%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.751.801.8864.10%57.12%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vicenza (Visit)

Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.307%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%21.95%22.15%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.124.054.6025.64%24.27%24.69%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.35%3.79fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.46%26.42%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.503.6231.75%28.82%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ascoli (Local): 51.67%; Vicenza (Visit): 21.98%; Draw: 26.35%. For Vicenza (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +1.11%E +0.240%K +0.307%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.60%EV -2.87%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.33%EV -1.97%E -0.442%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -11.13%E -6.47%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -3.29%E -0.748%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 15:24
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -11.13%E -6.47%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -3.29%E -0.748%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.88%EV -15.78%E -9.68%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.77%EV -8.78%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.36%EV -13.82%E -4.23%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-09 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -14.23%E -8.57%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.36%EV -6.48%E -3.58%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 14:50
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.13%EV -11.20%E -2.77%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.30%EV -15.27%E -9.31%K -23.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-09 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 52.91%EV -19.40%E -12.44%K -34.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 20.89%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.20%EV -16.99%E -5.39%K -7.90%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-09 15:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 15:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.