Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ascoli v Sampdoria

2026-10-27 19:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ascoli (Local)

Prediction 40.90%2.45fair odd
EV -6.34%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%40.90%40.81%42.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.212.252.2951.02%45.16%44.44%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sampdoria (Visit)

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%30.93%30.93%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.0537.04%33.95%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV -7.02%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.18%28.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.3033.33%31.07%30.77%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ascoli (Local): 40.90%; Sampdoria (Visit): 30.93%; Draw: 28.18%. For Sampdoria (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -5.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.78%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -6.60%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 19:31
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 19:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 19:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.92%EV -10.84%E -4.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-20 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -11.25%E -5.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.71%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-20 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -9.84%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-20 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.26%EV -12.89%E -6.05%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-20 19:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-20 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-20 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.46%EV -19.84%E -10.12%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.26%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -14.07%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-20 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.