Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ascoli v Benevento

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 15:15 UTC

Score final : Ascoli 1–0 Benevento

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ascoli (Local)

Prévision 40.49%2.47cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.35%40.51%40.52%41.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.262.302.3647.17%44.17%43.48%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Benevento (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.351%
Avantage +0.108%
Kelly +0.156%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.90%30.88%30.93%33.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.982.983.2537.74%33.59%33.61%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.61%28.55%29.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.193.203.4033.90%31.33%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ascoli (Local) : 40.49% ; Benevento (Visiteur) : 30.88% ; Match nul : 28.64%. Pour Benevento (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.351%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV +0.351%E +0.108%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.80%EV -5.26%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -1.19%E -0.373%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 10:14
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.19%E -0.373%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:33
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -2.74%E -0.869%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 15:34
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 09:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 06:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 15:34
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.45%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.90%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.70%EV -4.93%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:32
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 04:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 10:15
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 10:15
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 17:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.95%E -6.02%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.69%E -3.37%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.68%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.04%EV -6.07%E -2.62%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.38%EV -8.60%E -2.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.04%EV -6.07%E -2.62%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.38%EV -8.60%E -2.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 03:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 17:09
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.30%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.97%EV -10.37%E -3.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:43
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 03:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 12:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.69%E -3.37%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 08:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -9.71%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:19
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 04:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.07%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.07%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.07%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 04:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.25%EV -12.14%E -5.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 11:43
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.95%E -6.02%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 17:13
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.39%EV -14.17%E -6.68%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.58%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.52%E -5.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-01 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -10.93%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -18.18%E -6.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-04 13:09
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.83%3.2%2026-09-04 13:35