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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Ascoli v Avellino

Início: 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC

Final: Ascoli 3–1 Avellino

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ascoli (Local)

Previsão 45.21%2.21odd justa
EV -0.982%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.825%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.37%45.25%45.11%47.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.862.032.042.1953.76%49.24%49.02%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avellino (Visitante)

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV +4.75%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.86%25.93%26.25%28.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.533.504.0131.75%28.30%28.57%24.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.66%3.49odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -0.748%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.39%28.83%28.64%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.27%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ascoli (Local): 45.21%; Avellino (Visitante): 26.12%; Empate: 28.66%. Para Avellino (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.83. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.59%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.10%EV +4.75%E +1.18%K +1.58%G +0.075%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.30%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -6.86%E -3.33%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV +3.18%E +0.806%K +1.08%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -6.86%E -3.33%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV +3.18%E +0.806%K +1.08%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 17:05
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -6.86%E -3.33%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV +3.18%E +0.806%K +1.08%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 17:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV +1.88%E +0.481%K +0.647%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.736%E -0.194%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -8.67%E -4.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.24%EV -8.85%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:28
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -2.04%E -0.544%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:24
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -2.04%E -0.544%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:50
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 17:28
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:11
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:25
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:48
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.76%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -16.87%E -5.82%K -8.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 08:30
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.96%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 17:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 17:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:11
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.38%E -5.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-19 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 08:28
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.74%EV -12.29%E -6.33%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 17:29
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.37%EV -0.982%E -0.448%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -11.97%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 17:29
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:29
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.31%E -3.57%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 17:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 17:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.57%E -4.79%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.88%EV -15.45%E -8.26%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.95%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -15.89%E -4.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 17:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.65%EV -15.90%E -8.55%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.96%EV -17.72%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-09-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-09-19 17:24