Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arezzo v Palermo

Início: 2026-08-30 17:01 UTC

Final: Arezzo 2–3 Palermo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arezzo (Local)

Previsão 24.90%4.02odd justa
EV +2.60%
Vantagem +0.630%
Kelly +0.832%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.03%24.88%24.82%26.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.643.634.1230.30%27.44%27.59%24.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Palermo (Visitante)

Previsão 45.55%2.20odd justa
EV -4.34%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.50%45.64%45.63%47.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.052.1053.19%49.46%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.54%3.38odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.396%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.40%29.48%29.55%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.103.3434.48%31.95%32.26%29.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arezzo (Local): 24.90%; Palermo (Visitante): 45.55%; Empate: 29.54%. Para Arezzo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.02. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.47%EV +2.60%E +0.630%K +0.832%G +0.022%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -4.87%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.392%E -0.098%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:25
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.61%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.61%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:40
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.61%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:40
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -3.38%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.42%EV -8.44%E -4.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.53%EV -6.64%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:45
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:49
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.51%E -0.759%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:35
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:15
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 24.30%EV -7.12%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.92%EV -10.48%E -3.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 16:38
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:20
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:29
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:20
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 16:30
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 16:35
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.42%EV -10.60%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.396%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:39
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:54
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 16:20
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.04%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -14.09%E -4.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -14.09%E -4.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.30%EV -12.54%E -6.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -12.85%E -4.35%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.33%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.23%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.33%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.33%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.17%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -17.82%E -5.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -14.36%E -7.64%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-30 11:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%0.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%0.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%1.9%2026-08-30 16:55