Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arezzo v Cremonese

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 17:31 UTC

Final: Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arezzo (Local)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -0.123%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%27.43%27.37%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.253.6433.33%30.32%30.77%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cremonese (Visit)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.05%42.73%42.92%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.172.182.2852.91%45.98%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%29.83%29.70%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.103.2534.72%32.48%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arezzo (Local): 27.44%; Cremonese (Visit): 42.88%; Draw: 29.68%. For Arezzo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.644. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.640, with an expected value of -0.123%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -0.123%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 17:20
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -0.946%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.44%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -3.54%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.38%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -11.55%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.38%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -11.55%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:25
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 17:18
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 17:19
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 17:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.54%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 17:04
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 16:50
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 16:50
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 17:24
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 16:50
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 17:25
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.52%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 17:23
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 17:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:50
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.40%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 17:25
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.40%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 17:25
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 17:24
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 16:50
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.21%EV -11.65%E -3.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.38%EV -13.38%E -6.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -11.55%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 17:05
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -2.23%E -0.979%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 16:50
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 44.41%EV -18.96%E -10.03%K -21.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-10 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -16.31%E -5.35%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 16:50
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -16.31%E -5.35%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -16.31%E -5.35%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.68%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-10-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-10-10 17:25
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-10-10 17:25
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.6%2026-10-10 17:25