The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arezzo v Benevento

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 17:31 UTC

Final: Arezzo 0–3 Benevento

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arezzo (Local)

Prediction 30.63%3.26fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%30.60%30.58%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1737.04%33.63%33.33%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Benevento (Visit)

Prediction 40.32%2.48fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.559%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.01%40.30%40.33%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4650.00%43.57%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.10%29.09%30.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.163.4034.48%31.78%31.70%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arezzo (Local): 30.63%; Benevento (Visit): 40.32%; Draw: 29.05%. For Benevento (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.46, with an expected value of -0.816%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -2.89%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -0.816%E -0.332%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 17:20
BetUS🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -2.89%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -0.816%E -0.332%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -8.88%E -3.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -8.21%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 05:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 17:05
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -4.73%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -6.76%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.24%E -0.364%K -0.515%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.44%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 17:20
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 17:14
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.23%E -1.35%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 17:19
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -13.31%E -6.19%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 17:15
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.57%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:19
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 17:24
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 17:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 05:55
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 17:15
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 17:15
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 17:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 17:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 15:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.63%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.31%E -6.19%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 12:15
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 17:17
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.78%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 17:23
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.78%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.78%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -12.51%E -5.76%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -12.27%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.07%E -3.54%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.05%EV -12.51%E -5.76%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-24 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.23%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -14.23%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -8.07%E -3.54%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -14.23%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -8.07%E -3.54%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 16:31
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -14.23%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.80%EV -19.36%E -9.68%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.34%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-24 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -15.76%E -5.73%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 16:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.71%EV -17.29%E -6.40%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.27%EV -12.10%E -5.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.02%EV -14.31%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-24 16:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-24 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-24 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-24 17:20
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-10-24 17:20
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-10-24 17:20

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